Fact: There is no immunity or protection against The Law of Scoreboards.
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|User Info||*****-19 -- A White Paper - To @RealDonaldTrump and @CDC; entered at 2020-12-03 16:40:46|
You argue that in Sevier for example, there are 5,000 cases and extrapolate to 50,000 true cases because of the 10:1 ration of original (and still standing) predictions of actual cases to "known/tested/counted" cases, and you then say well that adds up to 80% immunity with the 30% pre-existing/cross immunity. This I think also relates to the 1.5-2.0% threshold where the curve dropped dramatically but doesn't seem to work anymore. Isn't it possible that the ratio needs to be adjusted downward at this point since so many more tests and cases have occurred? Seems to me the 10:1 ratio made more sense 7-8 months ago and tens of millions of tests ago...