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 2022: The Year In Review, And Burning Of Bridges
Abelardlindsey 2k posts, incept 2021-03-26
2022-12-30 12:54:31

The word is out on the internet that the front lines in Ukraine are now staffed with Polish troops. So I make another prediction about this, assuming the parties are rational. The Russians still kick butt in Ukraine and the Poles take quite a few losses. Then the Russians cut a deal with the Poles. The Russians get the Eastern provinces they want. The Poles get Western Ukraine, which is what they want.

The fly in this ointment is that Poland is a NATO member. However, Poland may be willing to disengage from NATO to a certain extent in return for Western Ukraine. How this works out depends on how the NATO establishment feels about Polish eastward expansion. The Hungarians and Romanians want land out of Western Ukraine as well. The real wild card here is the Washington DC political establishment. Will they accept this deal making to end the war? Or will they push for it to continue for whatever unfathomable reason?

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