Everything you predict is not only plausible but likely.
And there are quite a few that are apparent to any who give things more than a passing thought.
To me, this means that there are those in power who realize it and need to create contingencies.
I think the covid reaction was a contingency to stop Trump.
I think the mandates were a contingency to avoid showing the vaux was not only worthless but harmful.
So now that we're hitting that realization to the blithering sheep, I've noticed the fear ramping up again: masks being promoted, "get another booster," and the like.

But it isn't going to work this time, it's too soon after the narrative fell apart.

To keep the fires from spreading, I predict the Ukraine war expanding beyond those borders and directly involving more nations. Our government wants a war economy to save it from the inevitable but this isn't 1939 and we don't build shit anymore. Since that won't work, I then expect a false flag within our borders blamed on white nationalism (bonus if they tie it to pro-Russians as well) to put the boot further on our necks.

I hope I'm wrong but this government is already illegitimate in my eyes and is why they are becoming more authoritarian with each action. This year won't be tge end game, but we're getting close with few opportunities to get off the path.