Monday, February 1. 2010
Posted by Karl Denninger
in Politics
at
14:14
« previous page (Page 2 of 20, totaling 99 entries) » next page Calling Out Obama: Bankster "Reforms"Now comes the banksters with their lobbyists and bribes, er, "campaign contributions" to say that:
Well it ain't gonna be quiet no more! These goons on Wall Street think they can keep this up. They might want to pay attention to the fact that there's this thing called "an Election" coming in November, and the people are pissed, as noted in this Bloomberg article:
Yep. The people are still short of endorsing clanedestine neck tie parties, but I suspect it's not by much. When President Obama said that he was "all that was standing between the banksters and people with pitchforks and torches" he wasn't kidding. The idea that the people of this nation will simply sit still while the looting continues is somewhat of a fantasy on the part of those on Wall Street. Thus far the retaliatory actions have been both peaceful and lawful - mostly - such as "Move Your Money" and the like. But there's no guarantee that will remain the case, and the simple reality is that much of what went on during the 2000s was not "an error" or "bad judgment", it was a blatant heist, and the people are wising up to what really happened. Where the line resides is not something I can accurately predict. I can only note our Founding Fathers seemed to have a good grasp of things in The Declaration:
Indeed we have tolerated far more than we probably should have. But then The Founders warned....
Where and when does that line get crossed? How many people get thrown out of their homes, have 30% credit card interest rates, watch the banksters literally grab over a trillion dollars in printed money and claim "profits" for themselves of over $100 billion in bonuses, evade mandates on long-term holding of those bonuses in the form of stock to prevent cashing out before the sustainability of their practices can be proved up and more? I do not know where the line is. I only know that history says that it exists, that no man, no bankster and no government knows exactly where it is, but that once crossed it cannot be "un-crossed" just as an egg cannot be unscrambled. We need solid, real financial reform. We must renounce "bubble-nomincs." We must shut down the fraud-laced "securitization" machine permanently, prosecute those who have unlawfully concealed risks and lied about asset quality and return our economy to stable, productive output instead of financial speculation. The Banksters all claim that if we were to do this that society would collapse and that our economy could not survive. They're wrong, just as Henry Paulson was wrong when he said he had "no choice" when, allegedly (according to his book) the Chinese and Russians threatened to collapse Fannie and Freddie. Hank had a choice, assuming he's not lying of course. He could have told the Russians and Chinese to bite him - on national television, with George Bush at his side. He could have told them that if they tried it that the United States Treasury would, by executive order, declare their Treasury Holdings worthless. Yes, that would have stopped the "gravy train" of being able to spend more than we make in the government. Yes, this would have forced immediate austerity and facing of the truth. Is that bad? What have we done since? Added what - $2 trillion+ to the national debt - more debt we don't have and can't pay? Emitted another budget proposal, just today, to add $1.6 trillion more? Built yet another artifice - another fraud - on top of the previous ones? Written more "Option ARMs" on our children and grandchildren's backs to prop up a cabal of banksters on Wall Street who then fawn all over The Senate with their "campaign contributions" so they can keep skimming off huge parts of our economic structure for a few thousand residing on Wall Street? How's that going to work out folks? How will we settle up and ultimately pay this debt load down? We won't, of course. Neither will anyone else. Greece, Spain, the UK - all are lessons for us, if we choose to learn them before we get to live them. Watch those nations. If you think this is just about Greece you're nuts. The public employee pensions there are ridiculous. Guess what - they're ridiculous here too. In the closest "little city" to here there are many retired police officers and firemen who have pensions north of $100,000/year. There are many places where six-figure pensions are considered "normal" or "reasonable" - for public safety workers and teachers. We don't have the money, we can't afford to gold-plate the steering wheels of the cop cars and despite all the bleating the fact remains that the primary function of the police department is to write traffic tickets and take a report after you are burglarized, raped or robbed. Are these functions important? Yes. Do they call for better than a middle-class wage? Nope. Is a middle-class wage $100,000 a year? Nope. The 2008 Median Household income for California is $61,021. For Florida, $47,778. For New York, $56,033. So why are we paying out pensions of double that to what should be middle-class employees in retirement? Let's face the facts folks - we can either stop the plundering across society - by both banksters and public employees - or we will face a crisis similar to what Greece is dealing with now. It will be more pleasant for us to take our medicine voluntarily rather than having it forced down our gullet, but doing so starts with chaining the banksters and their penchant for offloading risk to others and, for those who refuse, jailing them outright, lest the public get ahold of them and not bother with the pleasantries (and constitutional right) of a trial by jury before handing up a sentence. At the same time we must fix the public employee entitlement mentality, by firing them and replacing them with unemployed Americans if necessary. We have 1 in 5 working-age men between 25 and 54 out of work - there is no shortage of available people to take these jobs. It is time to pay the check folks, before we are literally forced to eat it. Comments
Sunday, January 31. 2010
Posted by Karl Denninger
in Politics
at
14:54
« previous page (Page 2 of 20, totaling 99 entries) » next page Bernanke: Now The Administration Owns The MessSo we got our "Bernanke" reconfirmation on two votes, the first the "real" one and the second the one that everyone is trying to "count." Let's first look at the real vote - the vote for Cloture, without which there would have been no confirmation vote at all. The following Senators voted YEA on Cloture and stand for election this November. AK:Murkowski (R) Ignore the actual confirmation vote. Some of the clowns in the Senate, like Babs Boxer, tried to obfuscate reality by voting for Cloture and then voting "Nay" on the final vote itself, in an attempt to play "I voted against it before I voted for it." This sort of symbolic malarkey must not be allowed to stand. More importantly though is that Bernanke is now officially President Obama's child. He put him up for renomination, he did not pull that nomination, and he personally lobbied for his reconfirmation. He owns it. There are many who believe that Bernanke "saved us from another Depression." I will note that there were many in 1930 who thought we had been "saved" as well. They were wrong. They were wrong for the same reason they're wrong this time. From SIGTARP's latest report:
Yep. That report is 224 pages, and ought to be required reading. But the executive summary above that I have excerpted is the base of it all. There is one place that I disagree with Barofsky - that is the "reinflation" of the housing bubble. That's simply not going to happen, because the bubble itself was (as are all bubbles) predicated on false credit quality claims. Bubbles all depend on credulity. That is, they rely on the ability to find more and more suckers upon which one can offload over-rated securities, each of which is worth less than claimed (and in some cases literally "worthless"!) They pop when the number of suckers is exhausted and the mad scramble for chairs begins as the music suddenly stops. Those left holding a bag with no sucker to offload it to go bankrupt and since the essence of bubble economics is the overuse of leverage the bagholders inevitably are geared and those who lent them their money are imperiled as well. The natural check and balance on such behavior is the risk of bankruptcy. That fear prompts underwriting and proper margin supervision, thereby limiting the impact to those who actually speculated. But we have failed on two accounts: We first allowed regulated banks and insurance companies to speculate, effectively allowing private parties to gamble with the credit of The United States, where they keep the winnings but pass on the losses to the taxpayer. Then, when the bust came, instead of punishing those who gambled and lost by forcing them through bankruptcy (even if it meant the taxpayer would take a huge hit) we instead took the hit but left those who did the evil things with operating businesses! Bernanke is one of the chief architects of this structure. He has repeatedly engaged in "bubble economics" with scant regard for the common taxpayer - the citizens of this nation. Instead, his focus is on the few thousand brigands found in New York, who are plundering our society to the limit of their ability. The last two weeks have treated us to a few ugly realities in regard to where the markets are and what Bernanke has done. By pumping a literal trillion dollars into the markets via his above-market-price purchase of mortgage and treasury securities along with a zero interest rate for short-term fed borrowing he has engendered a monstrous stock market bubble. This has come about due to the inherent disconnect between real valuations and yields in markets where he has interfered (when you overpay for something you drive its yield down.) But that stock bubble has in turn been predicated on growth numbers that simply cannot arrive in the real world. The realization that "we've been had" may be coming now - but whether it is now, a month from now or six months from now, it will come, and instead of producing a flattening of the market (which would be the likely outcome were we trading in the 800s or even low 900s now on the S&P) the potential for an outright crash instead exists as people run for the door. We should know better - after all, the same dynamic took hold in the housing market. But that sort of dynamic was ignored then ("subprime is contained") and is being ignored now ("I don't see any asset bubbles") by Bernanke, and will continue to be - right up until the market implodes. Perhaps this is his (and President Obama's) intent. After all, our dear President intends to send a nearly $4 trillion Federal Budget to Congress in the coming days, while we are running a deficit of nearly half that. With China increasingly unwilling (or unable) to continue to recycle hundreds of billions annually back to US Debt (a losing strategy for them in the longer term as they'll never be paid off) and both Japan and England drowning under their own debt issuance one has to wonder exactly where Obama and Bernanke think they can source the over $1.5 trillion in net issuance they need to continue the charade. Perhaps the answer is nothing more complex than intentionally cranking the stock market one more time, then crashing it again, scaring everyone into Treasuries. Recent changes in money-market fund rules to permit them to throw up gates without prior approval of the SEC may be part of this, as may the rumblings about "annuitizing" people's retirement accounts. Anyone care to take a bet on there being some sort of "conversion to something safe" option being thrown about if and when the stock market dives once more? In any event the key items here are that we now have a "hit list" of Senators that must go from their seats come November, and a reminder that President Obama can no longer blame what I believe is an upcoming collapse of the stock market - a multi-year affair that will be much worse than what we suffered in 2008 and early 2009 - on President Bush. He had the opportunity to name either Volcker or John Taylor (to name two) to the position that Bernanke has, and decided instead to go with the guy who has been a chief architect of the "Brigand-and-Loot-Em" society - for better or worse, it's all his now. Bonne chance mes amis. Comments
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Friday, January 22. 2010
Posted by Karl Denninger
in Politics
at
12:14
« previous page (Page 2 of 20, totaling 99 entries) » next page Bernanke: Pound Your Senators NOW!NOW IS YOUR OPPORTUNITY. GET ON THE PHONE NOW and call your Senators. Tell them: VOTE NO ON BERNANKE OR YOU'RE FIRED; INSTEAD, BRING BACK PAUL VOLCKER! This is Janet Tavakoli's take:
Support is literally crumbling across the board - and it should. This is not about whether Bernanke "saved the system" - I argue that he did not, in point of fact, in that everything he said wouldn't happen, including the market crash from fall 2008 to spring of 2009, happened anyway even though Congress gave him everything he demanded and more! Further, the only "success" Bernanke's policy has shown is that he blew another asset bubble - this time in stocks where a huge number of issues in the S&P 500 are trading with P/Es over 60 - in clear bubble territory having no relationship of any sort to fundamental value or forward earnings potential. Employment is still in the tank, spending ex-government has not recovered and real-time indicators of forward demand continue to be extremely weak - two years after Bernanke said "he could and would save us." No, the real reason he cannot be reconfirmed is that he has continued to refuse responsibility for anything related to the mess in the first place, and yet Ben Bernanke has the lion's share of individual responsibility for what has happened. He has refused to regulate the banks. He has refused to protect consumers against predatory acts. He has intentionally grown credit aggregates at a rate dramatically faster than GDP over the space of his entire term and in fact influenced Greenspan doing the same, which is the root cause of the last two bubbles and market crashes. He has dogmatically stuck to his doctoral thesis even after it has been proved wrong by the passage of time and the market. He has intentionally concealed the terms of bailouts and handouts that were funneled through the banks on his watch, including but not limited to AIG's bailout that was funneled to Goldman Sachs among others. He has not supported the market - he in fact became the market for Fannie and Freddie securities, putting himself into a box from which he has failed to explain how he will exit (likely because he now realizes he can't!) He has been dead wrong in virtually every public pronouncement related to the economy over the last five years, including his repeated claims that there was no housing bubble, that subprime would be contained, that the economy would avoid a recession and that his monetary policies were "supportive" of sustainable growth in the economy. Not one of those claims from 2003-2007 was in fact true. For all these reasons and more Bernanke cannot be reconfirmed. We need an adult in the room. While there are others who could do the job, Paul Volcker is the obvious choice. He has proved his willingness and ability to take steps unpopular with the banking cartel when it is necessary, despite the heat that reflects back upon him. He understands the need for separation between the subsidized and protected lending function and speculative activity by financial institutions. And finally, and perhaps most importantly, he understands the difference between sound lending and fraudulent asset stripping and value destruction. Comments
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Friday, January 22. 2010
Posted by Karl Denninger
in Politics
at
09:32
« previous page (Page 2 of 20, totaling 99 entries) » next page Freedom Of Speech: How QuaintI'm probably going to draw a lot of fire for this, but I believe the US Supreme Court made the right decision yesterday:
What sort of "forceful response" might that be? The use of force (that is, the government's stash of guns), right? "Do as we say, or we (maybe literally) shoot you!" Hmmm.... Let me make my viewpoint clear on this, lest a whole swarm of lemmings start trying to put words in my mouth:
As a consequence if you honor the black-letter law as expressed in The First Amendment, you are led to the inescapable conclusion that The US Supreme Court came to the correct decision - whether it is personally distasteful or not. The true test of whether you believe in liberties and rights is not whether you support them when they coincide with what you'd like to see happen - it is whether you support them when they are adverse to what you would prefer. But with that said, I do believe there is a serious problem with campaigns and politicians - and corruption thereof. And here, I have a solution. Public employees - that is, politicians - should not be able to receive a campaign donation (in any form) from anyone except an actual constituent - that is, someone who is qualified and registered to vote in their district or state. Let the corporations (and individuals), along with PACs, Unions and others buy all the issue and even candidate ads they want - so long as they honestly identify who is funding the speech in question. But bar all public employees from receiving any campaign contribution from anyone other than a natural person who is registered to vote in the area represented by that particular politician, with violators subject to felony prosecution. If such an act is traced to a corporation the firm's charter is revoked. Isn't it funny how we never address the actual problem - the fact that candidates have huge war chests funded by corporations (directly and indirectly) and instead try to focus on trying to restrict people's desire to speak - a right that is guaranteed under our Constitution? Solve the problem instead of allowing politicians to play Kabuki Theater with this (very legitimate) issue. Comments
No comments
Wednesday, January 20. 2010
Posted by Karl Denninger
in Politics
at
23:32
« previous page (Page 2 of 20, totaling 99 entries) » next page Ring, Ring: CITIZENS CALLING! (Bank Limits)So President Obama is going to put forward some sort of proposal to limit bank risk tomorrow eh?
Firewalls eh? Oh, you mean like the "chinese walls" that were supposed to prevent things like banks shorting things they're securitizing and selling to customers?
Oh, you mean that banks would not be able to use their access to sovereign credit to speculate and then shove off their losses on the taxpayer? How about the massive fraud - you know, claiming that securities are "money good" when they're really used dog food? I'm sorry, but a year into this, and having watched Paul Volcker be ignored for that entire year, I'm not impressed by words any more. I might be impressed by action, and as soon as there's an actual concrete proposal I'll write again on it. But for now, I will simply note that the President Obama promised not to play banker stooge during the campaign, but in fact voted for TARP (the primary act of banking stoogery), had Timmy Geithner put an unlimited guarantee on Fannie and Freddie, and has done exactly nothing about investigating and prosecuting the massive and pervasive fraud that underlay the entirety of the housing bubble. I will also point out that a big part of the Massachusetts loss of the former Kennedy Senate Seat was due to "Bailout Nation" - where the citizens got screwed every time and the banksters make off with billions in bonuses. We the people are done being nice about this, and unless we see action - not words - YOU'RE FIRED will be the mantra that rings out in November. And no, you don't have until then to show us you mean what you say. We expect to see results - and actions - NOW - if those in the House and Senate would like to keep their jobs. STOP THE LOOTING AND START PROSECUTING! Comments
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