The Oldest Accounting Scheme
The Market Ticker ® - Commentary on The Capital Markets
Posted 2012-05-31 08:08
by Karl Denninger
in Banking System
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The Oldest Accounting Scheme
 

It's the oldest form of scamming there is when it comes to corporate book-cooking.  You've heard of it before, I'm sure -- gangsters do it, tax evaders do it, and..... it appears..... banksters do it.

The JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) unit responsible for at least $2 billion in losses on credit derivatives was valuing some of its trades at prices that differed from those of its investment bank, according to people familiar with the matter.

The discrepancy between prices used by the chief investment office and JPMorgan’s credit-swaps dealer, the biggest in the U.S., may have obscured by hundreds of millions of dollars the magnitude of the loss before it was disclosed May 10, said one of the people, who asked not to be identified because they aren’t authorized to discuss the matter.

Oh really?  There were two sets of books in the same bank?

That's effectively what's being alleged here.  One set of books for "everyone other than those who were doing it", and the other that had, well, "the truth."

“It would not be normal to book it at levels that were better than the dealer desk,” said Peter Tchir, founder of New York-based hedge fund TF Market Advisors. “That would strike me as a very big issue.”

"A very big issue"? smiley

It's the oldest trick in the book(s) -- literally.

This leads to other questions though -- like, for instance, how are "marks" determined not only within firms like JP Morgan but whether the externally-visible marks mean anything.

On the stock and futures exchanges one of the complaints that is (legitimately) raised is that "dark pools" and other off-exchange venues often lead to prices that are "unobserved", and this makes for all sorts of games that can then be used to skim from customers.  It only takes a fraction of a penny a share to make for real money if you can manage to steal it undetected.

But in the credit world there's a larger problem in that prices don't necessarily represent actual trades. That is, if someone is claiming that the "price" of a CDS on Frobozz company is $300,000 (to "insure" $10 million of debt) there is no assurance that anyone actually paid $300,000 for that swap, as the transactions are all over-the-counter, there is no supervision, and in fact there may have never been a transaction at all!

The next question is thus whether any such "quotes" are in fact real prices too -- that is, if someone said "$300,000" and I showed up and slapped 300 large on the table, would they sell at that price?

Cons like this are so old that various types of them show up in every industry.  The old "bait-n-switch" games in the consumer realm are part and parcel of this sort of scheme; there's no intent to actually sell at the printed price. 

But now we have an allegation that JP Morgan had "internal marks" that differed between their CIO desk and the rest of the company.  That is, one of those alleged "prices" was false.

Anyone care to bet whether the "false" one was strategically "better" in terms of what it represented the company was making (or losing) than the other? And these are on alleged "Level 1" assets -- that is, things for which there is (at least supposed) an actual market and therefore an actual trade price!

The net amount of credit-swaps protection sold by JPMorgan soared eight-fold to $97.4 billion in the three months ended March 31, Federal Reserve data show. The bank held total credit swaps contracts on $6.05 trillion, the biggest among the six-largest U.S. bank holding companies, the data show.

So if you're making a "mistake" in the value of those positions by just one percent you would show a $60 billion difference against reality -- or roughly half of JP Morgan's market capitalization!

This crap illustrates why these institutions must be broken up, Glass-Steagall re-instituted, all deposit-taking institutions barred from securities (exchange-traded or not) and One Dollar of Capital instituted and policed on a nightly basis -- with criminal sanction for violations and instances where "two sets of books" are used.

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User Info The Oldest Accounting Scheme in forum [Market-Ticker]
Captainkidd
Posts: 594
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But there's absoluetly no way anyone, anywhere, anyhow could have seen this coming.

And no laws were broken, so there's really nothing to be done.

Nothing to see here folks. Just business as usual. Move along.


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It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning. -- Henry Ford

Jstanley01
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Tickerguy wrote..
"A very big issue"? smiley

It's the oldest trick in the book(s) -- literally.
To me, this kind of attitude is a "Boomer thing," we being the ones in charge at this point. In that, we are the first generation to have been raised to maturity in this country with little-to-no sense of history.

So being blithely unaware of the facts of human nature that have been clear as a bell during the entire course of the last six thousand years of human existence, at least, we go all "gee-gaw" when we stumble across shams and scams that were hoary when Moses threw down his stick -- like as if they never, ever happened before....

inline
Shazam!

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You can't cheat an honest man. ~P.T. Barnum

Bozonian
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I don't understand why anyone continues participating in these markets.

Can someone please tell me who would willingly giving away his wealth in a rigged casino?

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Etz
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Must be what Obozo referred to as "well-managed".

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Throxxofvron
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Hyper-Speculative Psycho-Facsistic Parabolic Blow-Off
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IF Obama's Administration kept Books they would look like JPM !

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DIONYSUS: " Thou hast no knowledge of the life thou art leading; thy very existence is now a mystery to thee. " -from 'The Bacchantes' By Euripides “During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act.” -George Orwell
Jhc
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I guess people would finally wake up when they lose everything and their jobs. Why would people vote those buffoons who work against them is beyond me.
Kiber
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Worked @ Drexel in the 80's...this same **** went on back then...

Next please...
Harley
Posts: 19
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Gee, I wonder which set of books their bonuses are based on.

Even if the political class won't prosecute, why would the shareholders/board not fire everyone involved? Are Board members in on the racket? Maybe a shareholder lawsuit can do what the government won't.
Ribbit
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Throxx: "IF Obama's Administration kept Books they would look like JPM !"

That's Government.

That means there's more than two sets of books.

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If the State was a Nanny, it would have been fired for incompetence, unreliability, and having its hands in the till, a very long time ago now.
Anti
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Online
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Harley wrote..
Are Board members in on the racket?


Surely you jest? Of course they are mostly. Friends of the CEO, go along to get along. I have seen it in a local eelymosynary organization: once the WWII generation passed from the scene, boomers got in there and used the various processes and committees to manipulate the board nominees so the board became a creature of the chief executive.

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Bagbalm
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And yet I still know people who think they can read a prospectus or an annual report and get a true sense of how the company is doing and it's future prospects.
They probably believe TV commercials too.
Harley
Posts: 19
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I honestly don't know if every board member is in on the racket. Maybe they are, then again maybe the execs are only showing them the public books. The easy way to determine the truth is how the board members react. If they fire the execs for the 2 sets of books, then they MIGHT be honest. If they don't, then you must assume they're in on it, too.

That's why I suggest the shareholder lawsuit. If they are in on cooking the books, and the government won't prosecute, the only potential for recourse is 1) shareholder lawsuits and 2) whistleblowers.

Mannfm11
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Those number don't make sense KD. At $97 billion a quarter, it would take 60 quarters to acquire $6 trillion. From what I have read, CDS's are 5 year contracts, which is a long ways from 15 years implied.

As far as the accounting scam? I could see the trader making 2 trades and closing one to smooth his earnings, ala FRE back in the early 2000's. This would swap earnings from last year to this year. It might be presented to the mother ship he closed the other trade. Of course, the profitable end might have been given to a politician like Hillary.

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The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable.---John Kenneth Galbraith
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