And The Legalized Accounting Frauds Continue
The Market Ticker ® - Commentary on The Capital Markets
Posted 2012-05-04 08:12
by Karl Denninger
in Editorial
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And The Legalized Accounting Frauds Continue
 

Some day we will stop this crap.  For now, there's this.

Bank of America Corp., the lender that has bought back debt to strengthen its balance sheet, said credit downgrades in a hypothetical scenario may trigger demands for about $6.2 billion in collateral.

A two-level downgrade of long-term senior debt ratingswould have prompted the bank to post about $5.1 billion of collateral tied to derivatives contracts and other trading agreements as of March 31, the Charlotte, North Carolina-based firm said yesterday in a regulatory filing. It would have had to post an additional $1.1 billion of collateral if trading partners opted to tear up contracts in a two-level cut.

Moody’s Investors Service, which is reviewing banks and securities firms with global capital markets operations, has said it’s considering downgrades of lenders including Bank of America, ranked second by assets in the U.S. While ratings cuts typically raise borrowing costs and force banks to increase collateral, analysts have said the change was expected.

Give me a break.

There should be zero impact from this because you shouldn't be able to take on a position you cannot clear, in full with cash, at any point in time.

The only way you can do that is to be able to issue credit to someone unbacked by anything. 

Functionally that is identical to counterfeiting $100 bills on your office copier.

Think about it folks.  The VISA card in your pocket spends exactly the same way as does the roll of quarters.  They're identical in commerce; indistinguishable in fact.  Yet one of them is your past production; you obtained it by performing some sort of service for someone.  The other is a naked promise, unbacked by anything, to get up tomorrow and go to work.

There is only one way you should be able to do the second -- someone should have to put actual capital at risk if you fail to perform, and lock up that capital until you do perform, at which point it is released back to them.

Anything other than that is nothing more than counterfeiting the currency of the nation!

This is where the "gold bugs" get it all wrong.  A hard metallic monetary standard does exactly nothing to prevent this from happening.  Nor does "redeemability." 

There is only one way to prevent the economic dislocations that come from intentionally issuing credit unbacked by anything, and that is to prohibit the practice in the official currency of a nation. 

It's perfectly ok (and in fact desireable) to remove legal tender laws while you're at it, since that serves as a check and balance on the above behavior.  If I can negotiate debt in whatever I'd like (oranges of a given grade and type, if I so prefer) then I have options available to me if the policing of the monetary function is corrupted.

But the fact of the matter is that until and unless the national currency -- defined as whatever taxes are denominated in -- is rendered stable in economic terms, which can only be the case if nobody can counterfeit it -- there is no economic or currency stability.

This outright and outrageous fraud is the root of all economic bubbles and their ultimate collapse.  The lending of money that does not exist against nothing but hot air always is inflationary in the monetary sense, always leads to malinvestment, always leads to price appreciation unbacked by actual future prospects for business and always ends in the same way, with collapse of the bubble in question.

There is exactly one way to stop it.  I dubbed it "One Dollar of Capital" a number of years ago.  You can call it anything you want.  But the fact is that until we solve this problem there will be no economic stability and there will be no actual growth in real terms.

We spent close to a literal decade covering up outrageous debasement of purchasing power in real terms -- from 2002-2009 -- during which there was not one quarter where you had less than a 5% annualized loss of purchasing power against your income in real terms, with the arithemetic average close to 10%! 

A 10% annualized decline in real purchasing power over eight years is enough to literally reduce the majority of the population to destitution and starvation!

Thus the housing bubble, the stock bubble of the 2000s and the government bubble on the back of Greenspan's bubble of the 1990s.  All of the actors involved, including especially Ben Bernanke, know good and damn well that my math is right on this and that if the general population understood what they had done to them they would all be run out of town on a rail.

The worst part of it is that in their outrageously puerile attempt to obfuscate what they did and prevent its recognition in the market they continue to transfer the damage from the private sector, where people took this on and deserve to take the hit from it, to the government where the risk is not one of collapse of a business but rather the collapse of civil society.

It isn't going to work.

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User Info And The Legalized Accounting Frauds Continue in forum [Market-Ticker]
Jstanley01
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Silver A True American Patriot!
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Tickerguy wrote..
The worst part of it is that in their outrageously puerile attempt to obfuscate what they did and prevent its recognition in the market they continue to transfer the damage from the private sector, where people took this on and deserve to take the hit from it, to the government where the risk is not one of collapse of a business but rather the collapse of civil society.
That's why Romney is now TPTB's man. The 'Bamster was fine for the job of completing the infrastructure construction. But they gotta get the Right on board willingly for implementation to succeed, which will involve the cities blowing up when the safety nets fail. At which point the Right will bow to the imposition of a police state under a Republi-turd such as Mittens gladly.

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You can't cheat an honest man. ~P.T. Barnum

12bolt
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Blueridge
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Quote:
. At which point the Right will bow to the imposition of a police state under a Republi-turd such as Mittens gladly.



Which is why I lump 'the right' in with 'the left'. Statists all.

They will only do what we allow them to do.

Based on my interactions with people of many different economic stations, 90% are completely delusional and uninformed about our government, the state of our economy, and the destructiveness of our current financial paradigm.

But they can quote sports statistics, draft picks, American Idle contestants, and definitely they know about the MSM's 'outrage of the day' -- which can vary depending on which arm of the propaganda machine that individual receives its news inputs.

Flappingeagle
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Quote:
This is where the "gold bugs" get it all wrong. A hard metallic monetary standard does exactly nothing to prevent this from happening. Nor does "redeemability."

There is only one way to prevent the economic dislocations that come from intentionally issuing credit unbacked by anything, and that is to prohibit the practice in the official currency of a nation.
The gold standard to me seems to have one redeeming quality. It causes crashes (i.e. the destruction of excess leverage based on unkeepable promises) to occur more frequently thus if not making them smaller at least for frequently wipes out those who are overleveraged.

Quote:
It's perfectly ok (and in fact desireable) to remove legal tender laws while you're at it, since that serves as a check and balance on the above behavior. If I can negotiate debt in whatever I'd like (oranges of a given grade and type, if I so prefer) then I have options available to me if the policing of the monetary function is corrupted.
As I understand it, you can denominate a debt that is payable only in oranges if you so desire. What legal tender laws say is that if you have a debt that is payable in currency, then whatever is named to be currency by the government must be accepted as payment.

Quote:
But the fact of the matter is that until and unless the national currency -- defined as whatever taxes are denominated in -- is rendered stable in economic terms, which can only be the case if nobody can counterfeit it -- there is no economic or currency stability.
I'm in total agreement with this statement. I believe it was Friedman who wanted to couple money supply growth with productivity (or was it GDP) growth to get stable prices but, that would only work if you elminiated the counterfeiting you described above.

Good column;

Flap


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Here are my predictions for everyone to see:
S&P 500 at 320, DOW at 2200, Gold $300/oz, and Corn $2/bu.
"You can't build a house of cards on a shaking table." - Tony Johns
The January 2015 AMZN put at $130 (cost $4.25) will be a winner.
Heffalump
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I think there are two intertwined topics: base money and leverage.
I understand the thesis that in any monetary system that allows credit, monetary base is defined by pledge-free assets. But people usually do not look at it this way, and want to discuss in terms of "base money" times "multiplier". So they feel that it is important to have an anchor that can serve as basis for the rest of the system, and is safeguarded from counterfeiting.

With gold standard in its historical form, "base money" has been relatively safe - for the fact that this yellow metal is hard to find, has remarkably high density and appearance. So it has been almost impossible to counterfeit in large volumes.

The introduction of banknotes was possible because of additional layer of trust: that the owner of print plates is restricted from printing at will, and the government is able and willing to track down and punish freelance counterfeiters.

In purely-fiat system, the medium itself becomes much less important, and the importance of trust is amplified. Now, all that matters is that the rules governing central bank ledgers (either in books, or in computers) will be honored. An extra-governmental currency unit such as Euro has an additional hurdle: governments need to respect the treaties that these rules are based on.

These layers of trust allow for increasingly higher flexibility - the financial system, being an intermediary, has no intrinsic value - what matters is its role as a mediator in real economy. So, if we as a society can rely on trust, our financial system will be able to perform its role better, faster, and in a less costly way. In this context, the famous quote about idiots "digging up yellow metal, burying it again, and paying for it to be guarded" is certainly true.

Now again, what happens when this trust breaks down? When we can see that the rules are violated in broad daylight, money starts to devolve. If governments are not willing to curb excessive spending, currency unions break as the rulers of profligate countries renege on treaties. When people can not trust the banks, money in accounts has less value than the same amount of banknotes. In both collapses of Russian Empire during the past century, paper money had significant premium over bank promises. And when nothing else is left, gold again becomes the ultimate store of value - not that it is "good money", but because the alternatives are even worse. There is no trust in the rules, so nothing that a government offers is better than the historic knowledge gained during past 5000 years: some day, someone will treat this piece of metal as a valuable thing, and I will be able to trade it for things that I really need.

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"If rate I raise, burst, the frothy bubble will. If rates I lower, inflation will I get.
Unclear, is the housing market."
Anti
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One of your clearest most cogent presentations of the basic problem with todays money.

OTOH since most of the population is not destitute yet, (8 years...) there must be something wrong with your graph and surrounding commentary.

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Sunkeye
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dint post yesterday after reading that corzine spec proc ticker
but will today reading this one

i just want to say im thankful there are the brave and passionate out there
who will not sit back and watch - allow - white collar criminals
get away with it

too unmotivated myself but boy do i cheer for heroes like denninger tavakoli
ratigan taaibi (sp?) and keiser

just heard a couple days back of illinois/chicago politicians' latest law writing to gravy train their pensions

we NEED to paper trail these votes and clawback these frauds - crimes -
and hold these crooks to account monetarily and incarcerationally too

t/y again kd youre a badass a balls to the wall hero and it's a privilege
to read your stuff

there's a new flick out called 'the avengers' well hooray for hollywood
but ive got my own 'the avengers' heroes and they're the names listed above

prolly the villians will win in the end but gawdammit here's hoping right & good can prevail
Mannfm11
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DFW, Tx
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The case for the gold standard is gold isn't credit. The entire money supply of the US or any other country can totally implode, go to zero or become so scarce that almost no one has it. What is money if currency, which is nothing but bank notes, fails? Federal Reserve notes are the debt of the US and any other crap the Fed takes in return for notes or credit. Even gold is value in payment of debt, which arises out of contract. Otherwise it is merely a commodity people like to put on their hands, around their necks and use in high tech industrial applications.

The point is gold money can't go away. The problems associated with gold have always been centered around credit banking. Our economy is floating on debt, which the failure of could pull all spending power into a black hole. This is the bearish case and the reason they continue to bring up the austerity nonsense. The problem is, we have reached the point where debt is such that it will weigh on the economy all the time going forward, as long as it continues to be supported.

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The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable.---John Kenneth Galbraith
Mo
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I'm living in Pittsburgh now, home of a huge health care and higher ed bubble. No one here realizes how effn bad it is south of the mason-dixon line or in other places devastated by the housing bubble because the housing bubble never happened here. Bubblemania is alive and well here and those employed in the bubble sectors are clueless their world could end at any moment.

The level of denial is interesting to me and I suspect it's just as high in other cities in the northeast.

From what I can tell, there are 4 active bubbles going on right now: health care/health insurance, higher ed, federal government jobs/spending, and the stock market. When these pop, what can they bubblize next? Besides ammo that is.

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Analog
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arkansas ozarks
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Harry Browne said inflation is how government finances itself, by stealing the savings at a rate low enough nobody complains very much.

By that logic i suppose cost of gov't as % of GDP is limited to whatever % inflation the folks will tolerate .
Or should have been.

That's simple enough even for me to grasp.





Drjerry
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Any guesses how long before someone presses the Big Reset button?
Lanny
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President Andrew Jackson, July 10, 1832 - Veto Message Regarding the Bank of the United States, wrote..
"It is maintained by some that the bank is a means of executing the constitutional power "to coin money and regulate the value thereof." Congress have established a mint to coin money and passed laws to regulate the value thereof. The money so coined, with its value so regulated, and such foreign coins as Congress may adopt are the only currency known to the Constitution. But if they have other power to regulate the currency, it was conferred to be exercised by themselves, and not to be transferred to a corporation. If the bank be established for that purpose, with a charter unalterable without its consent, Congress have parted with their power for a term of years, during which the Constitution is a dead letter. It is neither necessary nor proper to transfer its legislative power to such a bank, and therefore unconstitutional."
President Andrew Jackson, February 1834 - From the original minutes of the Philadelphia committee of citizens sent to meet with him, wrote..
"Gentlemen! I too have been a close observer of the doings of the Bank of the United States. I have had men watching you for a long time, and am convinced that you have used the funds of the bank to speculate in the breadstuffs of the country. When you won, you divided the profits amongst you, and when you lost, you charged it to the bank. You tell me that if I take the deposits from the bank and annul its charter I shall ruin ten thousand families. That may be true, gentlemen, but that is your sin! Should I let you go on, you will ruin fifty thousand families, and that would be my sin! You are a den of vipers and thieves. I have determined to rout you out, and by the Eternal, (bringing his fist down on the table) I will rout you out!"
Does anybody remember anymore what Congress, Senate and President are supposed to attain to? Obama and Geithner and Bernanke, oh my. Jackson and Lincoln are rolling in their graves hourly I'm sure. Who knows if they were alive they might utter, "forget it, disolve the union, judge treason on the cowards, root them out and start over with a new nation, same constitution." Likely not, take it with a grain of salt, and that's probably just my frustration coming through, but I wonder. Jackson being smarter than me probably would have done it while maintaining the union. We need a modern Jackson today!
Phxkevin
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Drjerry
Quote:
Any guesses how long before someone presses the Big Reset button?


I think that there are two schools of thought:

1) orderly transition
2) outright collapse

I think the opportunity for an orderly transition to a reset is quickly slipping away, if not gone.

Hopefully a collapse will be more like the great depression (for the US) rather than the reset for Germany under Hitler, or a mad max scenario

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Congress persons are all the same, republican or democrat, conservative or liberal. They talk a good game, but the results (or lack thereof) show something different.
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