Yes, US Funds Really Are That Stupid
The Market Ticker ® - Commentary on The Capital Markets
Posted 2011-06-28 09:01
by Karl Denninger
in Bonds
Ignore this thread
Yes, US Funds Really Are That Stupid
 

Making the rounds is a statement from PayPal that it is closing its US Money Market Fund.

Why?  Well, perhaps it's this:

The European debt crisis would pose a threat to U.S. money-market mutual funds if a rash of sovereign defaults caused big banks to fail to meet obligations within the next three months.

We learned from 2008..... nothing.

We actually did, from a regulatory perspective......... nothing.

Remember, a big part of the panic in 2008 was the Reserve Fund that "broke the buck", allegedly triggering a $500 billion run in the money markets.  While this has never been substantiated with publicly-available documents Bernanke has made the claim as have others.

The problem was concentration in Lehman paper; rather than actually investigating what was going on for the previous few years, the funds were simply buying anything they could get their hands on.  This was true despite the fact that the Jenner report into Lehman's bankruptcy found that Citibank, and presumably others including The NY Fed, were well-aware that Lehman had collateral problems well in advance of their collapse!

Rather than pay attention and diversify out of these illiquid and impaired assets the funds chased yield and then when the bottom fell out - oops!

Assuming the claim is true, one would think that this sort of concentration and risk would have been forbidden by regulators and addressed. 

It was not.

U.S. money funds eligible to buy corporate debt had about $800 billion, or half their assets as of May 31, in securities issued by European banks, Fitch Ratings estimated.

To err once is a mistake.

To do so twice is intentional malfeasance.

Incidentally there are several people who claim there's no problem here even if there is a severe dislocation in Greece.  Of course there were several people who assured us that subprime was contained in 2007 as well.

I suggest that you do your own diligence.

Discussion below (registration required to post)
 

Main Navigation
Full-Text Search & Archives
Archive Access
Get Adobe Flash player





Blogtalk 3:30 CT Mondays
Items To Look At


Discuss The Capital Markets along with daily technical analysis with our Gold Donor program.

Where We Are, Where We're Heading (2013) - The annual 2013 Ticker

Links and Blogroll
Our policy on reciprocal links: Send us an email with your information and why you think your blog or news site would make a good addition - in most cases reciprocal link requests will be granted.
Seeking Alpha Certified
Legal Disclaimer

The content on this site is provided without any warranty, express or implied. All opinions expressed on this site are those of the author and may contain errors or omissions.

NO MATERIAL HERE CONSTITUTES "INVESTMENT ADVICE" NOR IS IT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO STOCKS, OPTIONS, BONDS OR FUTURES.

The author may have a position in any company or security mentioned herein. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

Looking for "The Best of Market Ticker"? Check out
Ticker Classics.

Visit the forum to discuss this and other investing-related topics; see the FAQ on the forum for information about Gold Donor status including access to our technical analysis video server.

Market charts, when present, used with permission of TD Ameritrade/ThinkOrSwim Inc. Neither TD Ameritrade or ThinkOrSwim have reviewed, approved or disapproved any content herein.

Market Ticker content may be reproduced or excerpted online provided full attribution is given and the original article source is linked to. Please contact Karl Denninger for reprint permission in other media.

Submissions may be sent "over the transom" to The Editor at any time. To be considered for publication your submission must include full and correct contact information and be related to an economic or political matter of the day. All submissions become the property of The Market Ticker.

Leads on stories of current economic and political interest are always welcome. Our fax tip line is 850-897-9364; please include contact information with your transmission.

 
Comments.......
User: Not logged on
Login Register Top Blog Top Blog Topics FAQ
Showing Page 1 of 2  First12Last
User Info Yes, US Funds Really Are That Stupid in forum [Market-Ticker]
Riceday
Posts: 501
Incept: 2009-10-30
Green
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Hmm... where to hide the 401k...still looking for a safe haven
Corn1945
Posts: 4167
Incept: 2009-04-30
Green
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
The amount of money destroyed by chasing yield is going to be epic.
Captbill
Posts: 842
Incept: 2008-07-22
Gold A True American Patriot!
Arizona's West Shore
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
And the clock continues to tick...

(Wow, is it any coincidence this place uses the words tick and Ticker...???)

----------
Incredible. There's Smith and he's standing there and he's got the iceberg warning in his ****ing hand, excuse me, his hand, and he's ordering more speed. Lewis Bodine, RMS Titanic
Steelhead23
Posts: 2036
Incept: 2008-09-09
Green
Portland OR
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
As regards senor Bucky, the lights are flashing, the horn is blaring, and yet folks are milling around the train tracks as if nothing is happening. Forum members who haven't put a bit of money in foreign banks or currency aren't paying attention. I saw a bit the other day that showed that each American's share of the national debt is $45,000 - a thousand more than each Greek owes.

----------
"Give me control of a nation's money and I care not who makes it's laws" —Mayer Amschel Bauer Rothschild Benjamin Bernanke
For-profit commercial banks are a menace and should be eradicated
Corn1945
Posts: 4167
Incept: 2009-04-30
Green
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Quote:
I saw a bit the other day that showed that each American's share of the national debt is $45,000 - a thousand more than each Greek owes.


Rerun the calculation using the number of people who actually work. Leave out kids, elderly, truly disabled, etc.
Burke13
Posts: 32
Incept: 2010-02-22
Gold
Texas
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Riceday - I have had the same problem since 2007...what is the least terrible option in my 401k. For me it's 75% in the Money Market fund and 25% in the US Treasury fund. I'm extremely lucky because the Money Market fund I'm in has only US exposure (everyone needs to do their due diligence here!). The Treasury fund (Vanguard Short-Term Federal) unfortunately has a ton of Federal Home Loan Bank (FHLB) exposure which is not backed by the full faith and credit of our Treasury, like Fannie and Freddie weren't 2-3 years ago, until we bailed them out too. Every other option in my 401k puts me into corporate bonds or stocks...no thank you.

My 401k is basically forced participation in these markets, no option to sit in cash, no options for precious metals, have to quit my job to pull the money out, etc. I realize I'm the exception to the rule here as I'm ultra-conservative with my money (the above allocation kind of proves that). :)
Etz
Posts: 13886
Incept: 2007-06-26
Silver
LA
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Since when does Paypal give a rat's ass about raping its customers?

----------
Legal chicanery and beneficent darkness are the banker's stoutest allies - F.Pecora.

Vidad
Posts: 97
Incept: 2010-08-15
Green
Florida
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
"Since when does Paypal give a rat's ass about raping its customers?"

Seconded. That brought me a smile. And a single tear.
Flaps10
Posts: 5141
Incept: 2008-10-17
Silver
seattle
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Steelhead,

This here link is worth staring at for a minute or two:

http://www.usdebtclock.org/

Meanwhile, here in WA I heard a proposal yesterday that the state wants to "invest" the pension money it's holding into businesses which can't otherwise get a loan. Sounds like an awesome strategy.

----------
"Better to die on your feet than live on your knees"
Ckaminski
Posts: 1569
Incept: 2011-04-08
Green
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
@Riceday: exactly - there's no flexibility in my 401K. I hate how the IRS has structured these plans. They should be just like my IRA - give me full control of my investment options
Anti
Posts: 4278
Incept: 2007-10-09
Silver
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Burke, When the Reserve Fund broke the buck I had money in a sweep account (barely knew what that was then) at my broker, but I had selected the Treasury only fund, and had been accepting a lower yield for a year or so on account of that. Well, Reserve Fund froze its assets so money went in overnight and didn't come out. And they did that not just to the fund in question, but to the TREASURY ONLY fund. keeping the sweep from my account. They let the funds loose after a week or so and who knows how many trillions of lubrication The Bernank slathered all over the system.

So they had to be co-mingling funds or some illegality, but no one goes to jail.


Anyway that is a warning for everyone from my experience.

----------
Health is better than health insurance
http://gerson.org/
Over the past 60 years, thousands of people have used the Gerson Therapy to recover from so-called “incurable” diseases such as cancer, diabetes, heart disease and arthritis.
Bertdilbert
Posts: 2649
Incept: 2008-12-22
Gold
CA
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Quote:
I saw a bit the other day that showed that each Americans share of the national debt is $45,000 - a thousand more than each Greek owes.


Let's quit bull****ing around here. Americans owe at several levels. Janet chimes in for Chicago.

"Our total debt for the municipality, education, county, sanitary, park, fire, township, library and special services is now $108 billion. That means the debt per person in Chicago exceeds $23,700 (corrected assuming 2.67 average per household) or more than $63,500 per household, and that is just local debt."

Now I don't know what Greeks owe at local levels, but chances are, our numbers are probably worse in total.

Edit: It does not look like Janet included state debt in that either.

----------
Dear Euroland: Relax, Germany has a plan for your money!

Political Capital Defined: We are out of money but will tax our citizens for whatever it takes to "SAVE" the Euro.

Midwestman
Posts: 2513
Incept: 2007-12-10
Green
Indiana
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Quote:
We actually did, from a regulatory perspective......... nothing.


While that is impossible to accept or digest, it is easy to see how it has come to be. You have people who understand very little about finance or economics trying to fight the bankers and moneyspinners, and on the other side you have pretty much everyone with any financial expertise or credibility in the public eye standing squarely on the side of not regulating the institutions and processes that caused the failures leading up to 2008.

It is so easy for CNBS to bring Senator after Senator, Congressman after Congressman, Governors, Former WH/Hill Staffers, Professors, Experts with financial and economic creds who use hyperbolic rhetoric to dismiss any attempts at regulation and warn us of Hellfires if we do anything to restrict the madness on Wall Street and the Financial industry at large. Surprisingly they also want to keep the madness in govt going on - with emphasis on burning more borrowed money to buy and drop more weapons on stone age peasants and middle ages morons.

How hard would it have been for Obama to come in, market drops to 666, BAC is selling for $2, C is even lower, and Obama says, okay this cannot go on forever, we need to split the customer banking from investment banking and get the former working smoothly while working separately to stabilize the latter. Things would have been so different - not only would we have had more job creation, we would also have had more honest markets and better prospects for the future. Instead any hint of govt interfering in banks, other than to give them billions of dollars carte blanche, was hyped up as nationalization and socialism and whatnot and Obama and his cohorts backed off and did exactly what needed to be done for the banks to the car companies. Funnily now everyone is touting how wonderful GM and Chrysler are now - which is also a gross exaggeration.

Ultimately we must be in such deep, unrecoverable **** that the experts in finance and economics believe that hanging on to falling rocks is the best strategy to soften the blow at the bottom of the cliff we sped off of. Or we have elevated the most incompetent and dishonest, clueless people to positions of power and influence on finance and economics.

If enough people wanted the financial institutions to be regulated properly, it would have happened. If enough people want the FIs to be NOT REGULATED and granted impunity it would have happened, and it did. That is where we need to start fixing, if we are looking for a fix. We need more people wanting to address the real problem of financial recklessnes at every level, instead of having enough and more people articulating loudly the imaginary threats of socialism, communism, communalism, Black Nationalism and so on. Just something to think about for a few minutes.


----------
No crybabies! Stop it!
Maxplanck
Posts: 166
Incept: 2009-06-30

Galt's Gulch, NH
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
My 401K has options in equities, bonds, money market funds. What's a sane person to do? That's serious question for this board, obviously much heavier on money matters than I am.

It's getting to feel like the options are a) take it in the eye socket, b) in the *******, c) down the throat. The probability of these funds being of any value when I'm 65 (or 70, or 75) appears to be small and decreasing.




----------
Washington DC: 61.4 square miles surrounded by reality.
Andyc
Posts: 333
Incept: 2010-10-24


Banned
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Looks like a very astute move by Pay Pal, I wonder where they will invest short term if not in money market funds.

Treasuries?


Money market funds were given the ability to close the gate and deny redemptions awhile back.............
Steelhead23
Posts: 2036
Incept: 2008-09-09
Green
Portland OR
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Flaps - Thanks - I about coughed-up my Cheerios when I added the average personal debt to the individual's share of the national debt. Anyone here who hasn't read the Burning Platform's Part 5 - Unforgiven, needs to. Let us hope that we aren't on the brink of a fourth turning.
http://www.theburningplatform.com/?p=165....

----------
"Give me control of a nation's money and I care not who makes it's laws" —Mayer Amschel Bauer Rothschild Benjamin Bernanke
For-profit commercial banks are a menace and should be eradicated
Rutben
Posts: 1414
Incept: 2007-07-27
A True American Patriot!
Phoenix, AZ
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Trust everyone with 401k has checked whether "self directed brokerage account" is an option. They don't go out of their way to let you know, but if you can do that then obviously your choices become "unlimited".
Mannfm11
Posts: 3530
Incept: 2009-02-28
Gold
DFW, Tx
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
The money don't exist Karl. It is nothing but a mirror of commercial paper it holds and liquidity is through a line of credit with a bank, probably secured by compensating balances. It has to clear through M1 in some fashion.

I have been reading about the MM funds lending to French banks. Many of the banks there are having trouble borrowing dollar funds. Anyone think the dollar is going to zero, don't forget these banks have to have them to cover their liabilities. Banks are liable for their assets. Acting-man.com had an article last week about the big 5 US money market funds being in European paper really deep in search of yield. The mortgage bubble/CDO market was piled upon asset backed commercial paper. This was what the SIV's were and why Citi and others had to take them onto their books, namely they couldn't roll the asset backed paper, so they had to fund it themselves. Few people realize that everything collapsed in 2008. Just a row of dominoes. But, remember they have to find a yield somewhere because the bald idiot running the Fed has rates at zero. Why have a MM Fund or better yet, have your money in one if you get zero?

----------
The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable.---John Kenneth Galbraith
Genesis
Posts: 130658
Incept: 2007-06-26
Admin A True American Patriot!
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Yep. Of course when the yield is 0.1% what the **** are you doing chasing that **** in the first place?

----------
I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Throxxofvron
Posts: 10295
Incept: 2009-02-17
Green
Hyper-Speculative Psycho-Facsistic Parabolic Blow-Off
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
0.1% ?

Really?

How about some EXTREME LEVERAGE with that, Karl...

( first chart: http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/md.... )
Inline
Inline

----------
DIONYSUS: " Thou hast no knowledge of the life thou art leading; thy very existence is now a mystery to thee. " -from 'The Bacchantes' By Euripides “During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act.” -George Orwell

Smacktle
Posts: 1356
Incept: 2009-01-20
Green
Texas
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Get out of money markets and into Legos sets and bobbleheads. When things collapse the children will need toys! GO LONG TOYS!

----------
The faults of the burglar are the qualities of the financier.
- George Bernard Shaw
Analog
Posts: 541
Incept: 2010-12-29
Gold
arkansas ozarks
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
@riceday & maxplanck

thank you fellows for expressing concern. I'm right there , 65 next month with IRA 85% cash 10% GE 5% mining. And worried sick.

When next crash comes i'm loading up on electric utility stock - pays a dividend, has captive market, can't be imported.

What's an uneducated man to do? I'd try to imitate the smart money but don't understand their vocabulary.
Except for plain spoken Warren Buffet who bought the railroad that hauls coal thru my small town to Southern Co plants down Alabama way. But that train done left the station.


end whine. Thanks for your posts, they lightened my day even if it's just catharsis..
Genesis
Posts: 130658
Incept: 2007-06-26
Admin A True American Patriot!
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Quote:
When next crash comes i'm loading up on electric utility stock - pays a dividend, has captive market, can't be imported.

If the balance sheet is ok that's not a bad strategy. Just don't do it until the valuation and dividend payout makes sense.

----------
I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Azusgm
Posts: 2379
Incept: 2010-12-02
Green
East Texas
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
I've never looked at municipal utility bonds. Do the utility bonds pay off general revenue or from business revenue? I seriously know almost nothing about bond investing or preferred shares. Any thoughts?
Login Register Top Blog Top Blog Topics FAQ
Showing Page 1 of 2  First12Last