Our Local Troll Bridge: More Leverage Idiocy
The Market Ticker ® - Commentary on The Capital Markets
Posted 2011-02-03 13:15
by Karl Denninger
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Our Local Troll Bridge: More Leverage Idiocy
 

From Pete Blome:

5 Years in a row

For five years in a row the vehicle traffic on the Mid bay Bridge has declined.  Now that the Walmart in Niceville is open, there is even more reason to assume it will decline in the future.

Meanwhile, the Mid Bay Bridge bypass project grinds on.  Just this year tolls were raised to increase revenue.  That’s got to happen again to keep this fiscal monster going.

The bridge authorities recently delayed a $170 million dollar bond offering (rated a near junk BBB), which they assumed would sell at a 7.5% interest rate.  They will pay  $12.75 million in interest payments alone, which makes their current roughly $13 million in yearly toll revenue look pretty weak.  Mind you, they have more debt out there, and by the time this project is finished debt will top $350 million.

In the past I wrote that this is the worst of all possible worlds; the project will cost more to finish and cost more to stop (considering cancellation penalties).    The Board of County Commissioners need to step in here and finally use their power of control over the MBBA budget to force a forensic accounting of this mess and see if it isn’t better to stop the construction now.

The Bridge should have been paid off instead of taking on $10 million a year in debt.  That would have really helped everyone instead of ridiculous and ever more expensive tolls stretching forever into the future.

Pete Blome
Chairman
Libertarian Party of Okaloosa County

Incidentally, this problem comes about from people believing they live in a "closed" economic system.  The Bridge Authority "believed" that those of us who live on this side of the bridge would continue to pay the tolls because there were things we wanted to get to on the other side - and one of them was the Destin WalMart.

Well, now we have a WalMart here.  We no longer need to cross the bridge to get to one, or go 30 miles around.  For someone who lives in Niceville proper it's now not only closer (less gas) but there's no toll.  That's a huge difference in cost, and for our family it will result in at least one foregone round-trip a week.  I suspect I'm not alone.

The "closed system" economic folks include Bernanke, who thinks what he does here is a "closed system" as well.  He's wrong.  The system is not closed and neither he or the Bridge Authority can control the other economic actors.  As such when you squeeze someone the leakage usually blows back on you, which is exactly the opposite of what the "models" predict.

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User Info Our Local Troll Bridge: More Leverage Idiocy in forum [Market-Ticker]
Corn1945
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You buying those bonds Karl?
Gonji
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Timonium, MD
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While we are on the subject of Niceville, could we get an update on the Gulf Oil Spill?
Detersbb
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Municipal Corporations & incorporated counties have legal responsibilities to their bond holders.

Governments should not be run like a business, as it exists to preserve order, protect property, and enforce regulations to that effect, however, this is not your parents government anymore, and they are a business, the biggest business, and some may rightly argue the ONLY BUSINESS there is.

This is sad and will only result in bloodshed if governments don't tell bond holders-you made an investment-and investments have risk kind of like gambling, sometimes you win and other times you loose, but when the taxpayers are literally tapped out and no one can pay, it can not be paid...SO GO PACK SAND!
Soros
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was this a letter to the editor ?

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Genesis
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Yes.

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Blackswan
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Highway tolls are all part of the ponzi. Cashflow negative on the tolls? Oops.

NJ Toll takers make an average of $65K. The union is making $3M in concessions after threats that the contract would be bid on by private companies. These pensions are gamed as well.. last 3 yrs of maxing out OT for the retirement calculation.

I avoid the PA turnpike as much as possible (daily commute - take back roads and it takes about the same amount of time) **** em.




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Captainkidd
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Quote:
Highway tolls are all part of the ponzi.


Toll roads around the Dallas area (North Texas Tollway Authority) have all gone to electronic toll collection. Toll Tags, or billed (at higher rate) via License Plate number.

Toll Tags have automatic charge to designated credit card. When you get below $10.00 credit, it automatically takes another $20 or $25 dollar bite out of your credit card.

This was the smartest move that I have ever seen made. They got rid of the labor costs associated with toll collectors, and then got rid of the consious act of paying the tolls by charging the credit cards or billing later.

I don't use any of the tollways around here, and when asked why, my response is that I don't want to pay the tolls.

I have actually been told by half dozen or more people that they don't pay tolls, they have a toll tag. They don't physically take the money from their pocket and hand it to someone, so they don't consider it paying a toll.

Sometimes I wonder how humans have managed to last this long and not gone extinct.

***********************************

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A lawyer with a briefcase can steal more than a thousand men with guns. --Mario Puzo

It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning. -- Henry Ford
Genesis
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One of the big problems for the Toll Authority here is that the local WalMart in Niceville, which just opened, was basically made economic by their toll jacking.

Oops.

They slit their own throats. Just like Bernanke and others who think they live in a closed system, they don't.

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Gable
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Governments don't think this stuff matters to people, but it was this behavior that was the final straw for me that triggered me moving out of Florida.

I lived in Orlando. They were building out the toll road loops and one ran parallel to an existing road I used everyday. Orlando decided to close the free road (nothing wrong with it) just to force folks on the toll road. That was it. It had been building for a while when Orlando went on a toll road rate increase binge then pulled this stunt, I asked for a transfer and got it.

To put it in perspective. A teenager living in my area (east side) that worked in the Disney area flipping burger type jobs ended up paying more in toll road fee than all their Federal taxes (all forms SS and such).

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In all of history, no government became more honest, less corrupt, or granted its citizens more rights as it grew in size. E.L. 2011

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Azusgm
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Several years ago, the cafeteria ceiling at a Houston middle school fell in a week or so before the start of school. At nearly the same time, Houston started trying to float the bonds to build the new sports/convention complex downtown. That is when I started voting against each and every bond issue on the ballots. If we couldn't afford to maintain our schools at a level of safety, we couldn't afford to pay interest on bonds for more sweet deals for team owners.

Now I'm up in the country. One of the nearby school districts has recently had trouble with a weird misappropriation of funds. According to the reporting on that matter it appears that that little school district (a good one, to be sure) had a bond offering a couple of years ago in which they issued $96MM in bonds. The town itself has 3171 residents according to the 2010 census. That would be approx $30,275/person. How's that for starting early with student loans?
Guydaley
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Government operates on the Ponzi scheme principle. There will always be MORE growth down the road to pay for every project.

Why? More people? Why? Chamber of Commerce et al, bribing the backstabbers to open the floodgates of immigration, legal and illegal. And what do the vast majority of the immigrants have in common? A high natural birth rate.

That's your common thread theme throughout governments exponential growth. It is based on packing this country with people.


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Its called creeping TEOTWAWKI. Just because it doesn't happen all at once doesn't mean it isn't happening.
Starvingartist
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It's all automatic via toll tags or license plate charge around here now. I don't drive that way.

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Mezzmor
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In Orlando they found a way to build the expressway authority a 1.1 million dollar building that was necessary in order for the expressway people to meet with vendors...then jacked up the toll by .25 at each toll booth. They combined the building with the road widening project.

There is no way out of where I live except by toll road. 5.50 per day for me to get to work and back.


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Txin1880
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I will drive any amount of miles out of my way to stay off toll roads. I do not care if fuel costs me more than the toll would have, **** them.

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Starvingartist
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Quote:
5.50 per day for me to get to work and back.


Holy ****.

I'd move.

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"The only solution that is mathematically sound is politically impossible.
All the should's in the world ain't gonna change that."
Aliveh
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is there any borrow available on those bonds?
Genesis
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Careful with shorting revenue bonds like this - the toll authority can AND WILL jack the tolls to the moon and their actions are basically unreviewable.

There's a history on this and while they can and sometimes do default, it doesn't happen easily or quickly, and the people who live in the area and need the transport point get horse****ed before the bond goes down.

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Tm22721
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KD I thought you had backed out of local bond issues a few years ago when they became too risky. Or are bridge revenue bonds an exception ?

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Lenguado
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Vinnster -

What is the road they closed here? I am not aware of that one.... Not saying it didn't happen, but I did not know they closed a road next to a toll road like that.

Hate the tolls here, and avoid them like the plague when at all possible.

Leng

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they're saying "Kenyansian Economics". Grass Huts for everyone!
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Karl
The great irony of course is that at the same time as he assumes that monetary system is closed, Bernanke implicitly assumes that the economy itself is open - otherwise he wouldn't be able to dump so much of the inflation he's generating on other countries.

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Eighty6thebs
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I never use that damn bridge. They run signs out on 10 going west saying it's the fastest way to Destin (which I'm not even sure are true), but I always take the back bay brdige (331) for free and then 98 over the where ever I'm going (normally walton county). My guess is they thought every tourist in the world would use it but I see no point in it when 331 and 98 are just fine.

Now if I lived in niceville, then yes I could see it.

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Gable
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Quote:
Lenguado

Vinnster -

What is the road they closed here? I am not aware of that one.... Not saying it didn't happen, but I did not know they closed a road next to a toll road like that.

Hate the tolls here, and avoid them like the plague when at all possible.

Leng


I am sorry to say, I can not remember the name of the raod off the top of my head...it was 13 years ago.

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In all of history, no government became more honest, less corrupt, or granted its citizens more rights as it grew in size. E.L. 2011

Ellie's Law-As an online discussion about the failures of the Obama Administration continues, the probability someone shouting "It's Bush's Fault" approaches 1
Sledge
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Quote:
Quote:
5.50 per day for me to get to work and back.

Holy ****.

I'd move.

Here in Seattle they want to build a new bridge over Lake Washington. The lake divides the two major metropolitan areas of the city, so many folks have to commute over the water in both directions. The bridge is so expensive that they've decided to start pre-tolling... charging us to use the same old bridge we've used forever until the new one gets built several years from now.

It will cost $7 per day for me to go to work and back. Why do I live here again?
Starvingartist
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What's wrong with the old bridge? To narrow?

One way to fix your issue is to move to the side of the bridge you work on. :)

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"The only solution that is mathematically sound is politically impossible.
All the should's in the world ain't gonna change that."
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