Solution: ONE DOLLAR OF CAPITAL
The Market Ticker ® - Commentary on The Capital Markets
Posted 2009-11-13 12:27
by Karl Denninger
in Banking System
Ignore this thread
Solution: ONE DOLLAR OF CAPITAL
 

It never, ever ends, does it?

Our company, J.P. Morgan Chase, employs more than 220,000 people, serves well over 100 million customers, lends hundreds of millions of dollars each day and has operations in nearly 100 countries. And if some unforeseen circumstance should put this firm at risk of collapse, I believe we should be allowed to fail. As Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner recently put it, "No financial system can operate efficiently if financial institutions and investors assume that government will protect them from the consequences of failure." The term "too big to fail" must be excised from our vocabulary.

But ending the era of "too big to fail" does not mean that we must somehow cap the size of financial-services firms. Scale can create value for shareholders; for consumers, who are beneficiaries of better products, delivered more quickly and at less cost; for the businesses that are our customers; and for the economy as a whole. Artificially limiting the size of an institution, regardless of the business implications, does not make sense. The goal should be a regulatory system that allows financial institutions to meet the needs of individual and institutional customers while ensuring that even the biggest bank can be allowed to fail in a way that does not put taxpayers or the broader economy at risk.

The solution is very simple, but you will notice that Jamie doesn't bring it up.  That's because he finds it unacceptable.

What's that solution?

Prohibit as a matter of Federal Law, and enforce it vigorously under pain of immediately dissolution, THE LENDING OF MONEY UNSECURED THAT EXCEEDS THE FIRM'S CAPITAL.

This is in fact the only way you can both end "too big to fail" and not constrain size or influence.

It is also the definition of sound lending.

It is also how lending was done prior to the banksters corrupting the government and literally usurping the sovereign credit of The United States.

As we have seen clearly over the last several years, financial institutions, including those not considered "too big," can pose serious risks for our markets because of their interconnectivity. A cap on the size of an institution will not prevent that risk. Properly structured resolution authority, however, can help halt the spread of one company's failure to another and to the broader economy.

A requirement that you hold one dollar of actual capital for each dollar of unsecured obligation you have, marked to market nightly, absolutely prevents this risk.

That actual excess capital can be lost but there can be no systemic bleed-through as your capital then backs your bets in each and every instance.

While the strategy of artificial limits may sound simple, it would undermine the goals of economic stability, job creation and consumer service that lawmakers are trying to promote. Let's be clear: Banks should not be big for the sake of being big. Moreover, regardless of a company's size, it must be well managed. As we've seen in many industries, companies that grow for the sake of growth or that expand into areas outside their core business strategy often stumble. On the other hand, companies that build scale for the benefit of their customers and shareholders more often succeed over time.

Then prove it by putting your own capital at risk in each and every unsecured lending transaction.  For each loan you write where the collateral is worth less than the outstanding amount of the loan, at any point in time, hold one dollar of your own capital as security against that loan's default and the bleed-through effects on the economy.

And it's not just multinational corporations that rely on such a large scale. J.P. Morgan Chase and others supply capital to states and municipalities as well as to firms of all sizes. Smaller banks play a vital role in our nation's economy, too -- but a fragmented banking system cannot always provide the level of service, breadth of products and speed of execution that clients often need. Capping the size of American banks won't eliminate the needs of big businesses; it will force them to turn to foreign banks that won't face the same restrictions.

Yes, and JP Morgan/Chase will allegedly bribe states and municipalities (aka Jefferson County Alabama) to "obtain" that business and earn a 400% profit beyond the market rate too.  Yes, I know, you didn't admit guilt in the "settlement", but you did pay $75 million and forfeit another half-billion+ in termination fees.  Is it "usual and customary" for your company to pay nearly three quarters of a billion dollars in forfeits and fines when you did nothing wrong?  Our states and municipalities would be far better off without your firm's "services."

Global economic growth requires the services of big financial firms. It also requires that big financial firms be allowed to fail.

ONE DOLLAR OF CAPITAL FOR EACH DOLLAR OF UNSECURED LENDING, MARKED TO MARKET NIGHTLY.

A one-sentence Bill that, were it to become law, would instantly end "too big to fail" and yet let you grow as large as you'd like - provided you are gambling with your own money and not the sovereign credit of The United States.

Discussion below (registration required to post)
 

Main Navigation
Full-Text Search & Archives
Archive Access
Get Adobe Flash player





Blogtalk 3:30 CT Mondays
Items To Look At


Discuss The Capital Markets along with daily technical analysis with our Gold Donor program.

Where We Are, Where We're Heading (2013) - The annual 2013 Ticker

Links and Blogroll
Our policy on reciprocal links: Send us an email with your information and why you think your blog or news site would make a good addition - in most cases reciprocal link requests will be granted.
Seeking Alpha Certified
Legal Disclaimer

The content on this site is provided without any warranty, express or implied. All opinions expressed on this site are those of the author and may contain errors or omissions.

NO MATERIAL HERE CONSTITUTES "INVESTMENT ADVICE" NOR IS IT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO STOCKS, OPTIONS, BONDS OR FUTURES.

The author may have a position in any company or security mentioned herein. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

Looking for "The Best of Market Ticker"? Check out
Ticker Classics.

Visit the forum to discuss this and other investing-related topics; see the FAQ on the forum for information about Gold Donor status including access to our technical analysis video server.

Market charts, when present, used with permission of TD Ameritrade/ThinkOrSwim Inc. Neither TD Ameritrade or ThinkOrSwim have reviewed, approved or disapproved any content herein.

Market Ticker content may be reproduced or excerpted online provided full attribution is given and the original article source is linked to. Please contact Karl Denninger for reprint permission in other media.

Submissions may be sent "over the transom" to The Editor at any time. To be considered for publication your submission must include full and correct contact information and be related to an economic or political matter of the day. All submissions become the property of The Market Ticker.

Leads on stories of current economic and political interest are always welcome. Our fax tip line is 850-897-9364; please include contact information with your transmission.

 
Comments.......
User: Not logged on
Login Register Top Blog Top Blog Topics FAQ
Showing Page 1 of 3  First123Last
User Info Solution: ONE DOLLAR OF CAPITAL in forum [Market-Ticker]
Jal
Posts: 512
Incept: 2009-03-25

Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Quote:
ONE DOLLAR OF CAPITAL FOR EACH DOLLAR OF UNSECURED LENDING, MARKED TO MARKET NIGHTLY.


How does the bank hold that dollar? In t-bills?
jal

Genesis
Posts: 130731
Incept: 2007-06-26
Admin A True American Patriot!
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Either in cash or short-term fungible-with-cash instruments, which since we're talking about guaranteed good delivery means short-term T-bills.

----------
I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Ssg263
Posts: 392
Incept: 2009-01-07
Green
NY
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Karl, what's the difference between your proposal and 100% reserve banking?
Genesis
Posts: 130731
Incept: 2007-06-26
Admin A True American Patriot!
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Much. 100% Reserve Banking does not permit lending EVEN SECURED against collateral.

That's bull****.

----------
I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Striker754
Posts: 671
Incept: 2009-07-09


Online
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
And if some unforeseen circumstance should put this firm at risk of collapse, I believe we should be allowed to fail. As Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner recently put it, "No financial system can operate efficiently if financial institutions and investors assume that government will protect them from the consequences of failure." The term "too big to fail" must be excised from our vocabulary.


WTF was tarp all about then?
Nevertoolate
Posts: 1219
Incept: 2007-08-26
Gold A True American Patriot!
San Antonio de Bexar de runover with illegals, Texas
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
100% on target KD!. Political contribution (lobbying/bribery) has to be reformed to complete the circle. Off topic slightly but I would love to hear you address an equitable/honest way to finance congressional/sentorial/presidential elections that would keep Dodd/Frank etc. problems from ever happening.

----------
"Socialist never mind stealing, as long as they are the ones doing the stealing. They never mind lying, as long as they are doing the lying."-Mannfm11

Before you attempt to beat the odds, be sure that you can survive the odds beating you.
Genesis
Posts: 130731
Incept: 2007-06-26
Admin A True American Patriot!
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
There isn't one.

The final check and balance on law enforcement refusing to enforce the law is the citizens being willing to step up and do it for them - with or without appropriate civil protections such as the right to counsel, the right to face your accusers, and the right to a jury.

IT IS ONLY WHEN THE PEOPLE MAKE CLEAR THAT THE GOVERNMENT MUST FEAR THE PEOPLE THAT THERE IS LIBERTY AND LAWFUL BEHAVIOR ON BALANCE IN SOCIETY.

All other TINKERING is bull****.

----------
I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Mayorquimby
Posts: 13909
Incept: 2008-09-18
Green
The Archaic Past
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Quote:
Prohibit as a matter of Federal Law, and enforce it vigorously under pain of immediately dissolution, THE LENDING OF MONEY UNSECURED THAT EXCEEDS THE FIRM'S CAPITAL.


How utterly boring. Why eat cake when you can have it too?! Ha!

When all common sense (such as the above quote) and decency and morality and logic have been thrown right the **** out the window - well, you're living in really ****ty, primitive times.

Seriously Gen - was there EVER a good reason (speaking on behalf of average Americasn) to increase leverage ratios? What good does driving prices up if there are NO WAGES to support that increase? You just robbed the bottom and gave it to the top. HOW CAN THESE PEOPLE BE SO ****ING STUPID AND/OR MALICIOUS?!?!?!?

----------
They who wish to hurt you, work within the law.
- Morrissey

Gold is theft.
Digalert
Posts: 217
Incept: 2009-09-19

Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
...and ZH reports that "mark to fantasy" has been made permanent.
Endthefed
Posts: 5
Incept: 2009-10-17

Atlanta
Suspended
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Karl

Great post. Wondering how the other bankster loophole can be closed as well in the are of SECURED LENDING.

Example: Bank makes loan of $160,000 on property (allegedly) worth $200,000. Property drops in value (sound familiar). Who would specifically ensure that the banks are marking to market situations like these? Right now, many are insolvent. Even though UNSECURED LENDING above and beyond CAPITAL is a cause, it is not the only one.

Ideas?

Frat
Posts: 1935
Incept: 2009-07-15
Silver
NKY
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Here, here!

That was simple enough for even the financially-retarded such as myself. It's also why it'll never happen; if the laws aren't multi-tiered, overly-complex, and exceedingly long, there's no way that lawmakers can hide things to help those who pay their bribes, er, campaign donations.

KARL FOR TREASURY SECRETARY!

----------
We're ****ed. Where's Henry Bowman when you need him?
Genesis
Posts: 130731
Incept: 2007-06-26
Admin A True American Patriot!
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Quote:
Example: Bank makes loan of $160,000 on property (allegedly) worth $200,000. Property drops in value (sound familiar). Who would specifically ensure that the banks are marking to market situations like these? Right now, many are insolvent. Even though UNSECURED LENDING above and beyond CAPITAL is a cause, it is not the only one.

It is the only cause.

No bank can ever cost the deposit fund one penny nor can it impose systemic risk (although itself can fail) if it NEVER has more than one dollar of unsecured credit out for each dollar in excess capital.

It really IS that simple.

----------
I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Signas
Posts: 909
Incept: 2007-06-26

Reno
Banned
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
So where is this Capital to come from? Americans long time ago (1982 if you were smart) learned that saving from your labor and production in a negative real interest rate environment is no win ie leech****s abound.

The Chinese are selling bonds to finance the stimulus so guess not there either.

We are supporting Europe with swaps and the Arabs are in a busted property bubble and floundering looking to excommunicate from the dollar.

Maybe if we start a war in South America stealing the resources and throw in Africa, well maybe. We still have all the drugs coming out of Afganistan killing American children.

The humongous tax increases with Carbon Tax, Healthcare and letting the Bush tax cuts expire takes away from available funds for saving.

So just were does this capital come from to fund the banks to do the 1 Dollar lending

----------
Carbon Credits "FOR SALE" Bring a wheelbarrow full of money!! I really liked the people that spent $58,000 to earn a $21.50 Carbon Credit
Mondocondo
Posts: 3684
Incept: 2007-12-03
Green
Miami
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
How nice that Jamie can bull**** about not wanting to be saved, knowing the government will never let him fail. Empty words that sound good so he can get what he wants. I can see it now. In the next financial crisis, after the government bails out JP Morgan, Jamie will say: "I am on record as saying I didn't want the government to bail us out. But the government thought our failure would pose a systemic risk, so they bailed us out anyway, despite my protestations. What was I supposed to do, stand on principle and prevent the government from doing what it thought was best to save our beloved country?"

Statusquojoe
Posts: 2784
Incept: 2008-11-20
Green A True American Patriot!
Land of the fees Home of the slaves.
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
They think they have the capital already to make unsecured loans, its quantified by a 9 digit number that makes us a taxable commodity. Err rather in this case its future nine digit numbers.

----------
There are so many rules no one knows which rules to follow. The only sure rule is more rules will follow. SQJ.
Signas
Posts: 909
Incept: 2007-06-26

Reno
Banned
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
9 digit don't mean **** without a just above broke

----------
Carbon Credits "FOR SALE" Bring a wheelbarrow full of money!! I really liked the people that spent $58,000 to earn a $21.50 Carbon Credit
Oxfordrick
Posts: 3171
Incept: 2007-07-09
Green
san diego
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List

And if some external event diminishes the value of the collateral held at all banks do you close them all down simultaneously or is there a lender of last resort to keep commerce going?
Genesis
Posts: 130731
Incept: 2007-06-26
Admin A True American Patriot!
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Banks determine the risk of being closed down due to some "external event" by determining ON THEIR OWN how close to zero (that is, how much they wish to carry in reserves BEYOND the mandated minimum) they wish to operate.

We DO NOT need any specific bank. There are ALWAYS people who will set up a new bank to replace the failed on. The key is to prevent SYSTEMIC damage, which is, quite simply, the inability to meet obligations - that is, your failure ****s other people by virtue of your inability to pay.

If you never lend beyond excess collateral for unsecured loans, THAT CAN NOT HAPPEN.

----------
I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Robert17
Posts: 81
Incept: 2009-03-15

Judsonia, Arkansas
Banned
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
I watched Ron Paul on CNBC earlier telling us that FRB is evil.
Nuke_engineer
Posts: 2698
Incept: 2007-08-19
Green
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
The University of North Carolina is issuing $200 million in bonds next week. In spite of the inherent dangers we all know about, they are attractive to NC residents because of their tax free status.

I walked away from them the moment I saw JPM was one of the key underwriters. I've asked Merrill to give me the results of their legal review of the offering since they are part of it and if they think the fees are in line with the market for these bonds.

Let's see what they come back with....

----------
Trading and investing is understanding about people, emotions and corruption of government, corporations, banks and people using propaganda, lies, mathematics and bankster logic working against you.

Arkady
Posts: 133
Incept: 2009-10-19

Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
This was asked earlier, but I would love to hear an explanation of the unsecured lending proposal. This definitely seems more robust than 100% reserve banking, but am unclear as to how it would work.

Are we just eliminating marked to credit or something more involved? Would this insure that banks will always have money on hand in case of a "run"? I am only sympathetic to 100% reserve banking because it appears to be safe, but the safety also prohibits lending and growth - so an alternative is welcomed, as long as I can wrap my head around it.

As of now it still seems the banks can fail and some people will lose out. Something that could not happen in 100% reserve banking, not to mention the invariable booms/busts that go along with this proposal.

Oxfordrick
Posts: 3171
Incept: 2007-07-09
Green
san diego
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
The only way for a bank to ensure that it does not lend in excess of marked to market collateral plus reserves is to accept only collateral which cannot fall in value past the level of loans plus excess reserves.

Arkady
Posts: 133
Incept: 2009-10-19

Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
So mortgages are out, a massive source of collateral.
Oxfordrick
Posts: 3171
Incept: 2007-07-09
Green
san diego
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
And everything else that can change in value.

Login Register Top Blog Top Blog Topics FAQ
Showing Page 1 of 3  First123Last